Short answer：Public supply can influence housing choices, but one public flat does not directly equal one fewer private buyer. Eligibility, timing, location, household formation and housing types matter.
Separate targets from delivery
LTHS targets have defined horizons and assumptions. Land identification, construction, completion and occupation differ. A ten-year total is not one year’s supply, and annual report targets should not be added together.
Assess local effects separately
Review actual occupation dates, access and rental and sales data, including where households previously lived. No causal model here establishes a fixed price effect.
Before deciding
- Label supply stages
- Check report years and horizons
- Do not replace local analysis with totals
Sources and method
Sources support the specific rules described. Checklists and hypothetical calculations are editorial explanations, not measured market results or individual approvals.
Revision：Removed unsupported experience, case outcomes and statistics; corrected the topic-specific rules and limitations described above.
Scope：General information only, not personalised legal, tax, immigration, admissions or investment advice.