Short answer：Needing accommodation is not the same as being ready to buy. Income, deposits, renting, household formation and supply affect how needs become transactions; population is not a buyer queue.
Distinguish statistical units
People, households, waiting-list applications, registrations and sales measure different things. Official projections depend on assumptions and are not realised purchases.
Require evidence for current estimates
A district-demand estimate needs a period, segment, price range and financing assessment alongside rents, sales and supply. This guide has not performed that analysis and provides no invented queue count.
Before deciding
- Check statistical definitions
- Separate projections from observations
- Do not infer price direction from registrations alone
Sources and method
Sources support the specific rules described. Checklists and hypothetical calculations are editorial explanations, not measured market results or individual approvals.
Revision：Removed unsupported experience, case outcomes and statistics; corrected the topic-specific rules and limitations described above.
Scope：General information only, not personalised legal, tax, immigration, admissions or investment advice.